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Trump’s 2025 Tax Plan Could Trigger a Global Investment Shock
Together, these moves lower the cost of investing in the US and change how taxes affect business decisions. According to US Treasury data, the effective marginal tax rate on investment in the US before this plan was about 24-28 %, well above the OECD average of 19-22%. With these changes, the US rate could fall into the single digits, making it the most attractive place to invest among the major developed countries.

The ValueCritic
22 hours ago3 min read
14
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April’s U.S. PPI Confirms the Shift: Disinflation Is Back, But at What Cost?
The U.S. economy is not in recession, but the evidence is building toward a stagflation-lite environment real growth is stalling while nominal inflation decays more slowly.

The ValueCritic
2 days ago2 min read
5
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Unmasking the Hidden Drain: How Revenue Weakness Is Fueling Foreign Exchange Leakages in Trinidad and Tobago
T&T's economy is entering a paradox. While import volumes, retail activity, and consumer prices have surged post pandemic, government tax receipts have failed to keep pace. This divergence not only raises concerns about tax compliance and institutional effectiveness, but also points to a deeper structural problem

The ValueCritic
2 days ago4 min read
22
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IMF Sees Promise and Peril in Guyana’s Historic Oil Boom
Guyana, once one of South America's poorest countries, has captured the world's attention with its staggering economic growth, fueled by offshore oil discoveries in the Stabroek block.

The ValueCritic
3 days ago2 min read
1
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April CPI Report: Cooling Headline, But Core Inflation and Tariff Risks Complicate the Fed’s Path
Despite a reassuring 2.3% yoy headline inflation print in April, today's CPI report underscores an increasingly complex inflation landscape. While energy disinflation continues to suppress topline figures

The ValueCritic
4 days ago4 min read
9
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Why Trinidad’s Banks Are Cutting Foreign Currency Limits on Credit Cards
Trinidad and Tobago’s major commercial banks Republic Bank Limited, First Citizens, and Scotiabank have significantly reduced foreign currency spending limits on credit cards and introduced tighter issuance policies

The ValueCritic
4 days ago3 min read
224
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Sticky Inflation, Base Effects, and the Fed’s Delayed Pivot
This May rise is not being driven by new inflationary momentum. Rather it is a textbook case of base effects. Inflation prints from the spring and summer of 2024 were unusually soft. This means even modest monthly gains in current prices mechanically lift year-over-year inflation

The ValueCritic
5 days ago3 min read
25
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Which T&T Companies Stand to Gain from U.S. Tariffs on China?
This article looks at which Caribbean companies, based on their financial reports, are most likely to gain from tensions between the U.S. and China. It also explains what investors should look for when deciding which companies are well positioned for this shift in global trade.

The ValueCritic
5 days ago4 min read
10
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Tariff Truce Ignites Global Market Rally as U.S. and China Signal Shift to Cooperation
In a dramatic reversal of years of escalating trade conflict, the United States and China announced a 90-day tariff truce that has sent ripples through global markets. The deal, reached after high-level talks in Geneva, temporarily suspends punitive tariffs and sets the stage for further negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.

The ValueCritic
5 days ago4 min read
10
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Jamaica Stock Market Weekly Brief (Week 19)
Jamaican equities posted modest index gains this week, but participation remained shallow and selective.

The ValueCritic
6 days ago3 min read
3
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China’s CPI Data Signals Deepening Demand Weakness Despite Stimulus Push
Headline consumer inflation (CPI) came in at -0.1% yoy, unchanged from March and matching forecasts, while core CPI excluding food and energy rose just 0.5% yoy.

The ValueCritic
6 days ago2 min read
6
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TTSE Market Weekly Brief (Week 19)
Jamaican banks and cross-listed stocks, such as NCB Financial Group ( NCBFG ) and JMMB Group ( JMMBGL ), are performing well, benefiting...

The ValueCritic
May 104 min read
15
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Guyana's Oil Boom: Real Growth or Mirage?
Guyana, a nation of just 750,000 people, is undergoing one of the most dramatic economic transformations in the world. Fueled by...

The ValueCritic
May 94 min read
16
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How a U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund Could Keep the Dollar Strong and Fund U.S Debt
Donald Trump signed an EO to create a U.S. sovereign wealth fund (SWF). At first, this might seem confusing. Why would a country that...

The ValueCritic
May 43 min read
16
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Can T&T Afford a 10% Public Sector Wage Increase? The Numbers Behind the Promise.
As Trinidad and Tobago transitions into a new political era with the United National Congress (UNC) poised to govern, one campaign promise stands out for its sweeping fiscal implications:

The ValueCritic
May 42 min read
25
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Why the U.S. Could Avoid a Recession in 2025: A Liquidity-Driven Perspective
For much of the past two years, markets and economists have flagged an impending U.S. recession. Yield curve inversions, tightening credit, and deteriorating sentiment painted a classic late-cycle picture. However, high-frequency and liquidity-based indicators now challenge that narrative.

The ValueCritic
May 43 min read
28
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